Ray-Ray McCloud Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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NFL · Player Props

Ray-Ray McCloud

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Ray-Ray McCloud Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+110/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Ray-Ray McCloud's pass-catching efficiency has improved this year, notching 11.35 yards-per-target compared to a mere 5.04 mark last year.
Ray-Ray McCloud's skills in grinding out extra yardage have gotten better this year, averaging 4.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 2.20 figure last year.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has not been good when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.86 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Ray-Ray McCloud has been a less important option in his offense's passing attack this season (4.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (10.1%).
Ray-Ray McCloud has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (26.0 per game).