Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

NFL · Player Props

Rashod Bateman

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
Rashod Bateman's 65.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching ability over last year's 52.5% figure.
With a stellar 7.17 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Rashod Bateman places among the top wide receivers in the league in football in picking up extra yardage.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.8%) versus wide receivers this year (76.8%).
The Titans linebackers project as the 6th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

With a 5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 52.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.2 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.
Rashod Bateman has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (62.0 per game).
Rashod Bateman's 23.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 45.1.