Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Rashod Bateman has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 17.5% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.
Rashod Bateman has been responsible for a colossal 26.1% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 80th percentile among WRs.
Favors Under
The Ravens have been the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 55.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.22 seconds per snap.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (63.8%) to WRs since the start of last season (63.8%).