Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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NFL · Player Props

Rashod Bateman

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 3.5% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projection model to run 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
Rashod Bateman's 61.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a significant growth in his receiving talent over last year's 52.5% rate.

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 7.5 points.
The projections expect the Ravens as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Rashod Bateman has been much less involved in his team's passing attack this season (11.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (17.8%).
After totaling 62.0 air yards per game last season, Rashod Bateman has undergone a big decline this season, currently averaging 45.0 per game.
Rashod Bateman's 21.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 36.0 rate.