Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-120/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Rashod Bateman to accrue 7.2 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.
Rashod Bateman has accrued many more air yards this year (70.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
Rashod Bateman's 53.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 36.2.
Favors Under
The Baltimore Ravens have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.1 plays per game.
Rashod Bateman's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.5% to 56.2%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (60%) to wideouts this year (60.0%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown good efficiency versus WRs this year, yielding 6.82 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.41 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in football.