Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Rashod Bateman

NFL · Player Props

Rashod Bateman

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashod Bateman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (+106/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
Rashod Bateman has been responsible for a whopping 29.7% of his team's air yards this year: 80th percentile among wideouts.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Rashod Bateman has been among the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 47.0 yards per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.
Rashod Bateman has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 5th-worst paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.87 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
Rashod Bateman's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 71.5% to 50.0%.

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