Rashod Bateman Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Rashod Bateman

NFL · Player Props

Rashod Bateman

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Rashod Bateman Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-395).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -348 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -395.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Rashod Bateman to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack near the goal line this week (17.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.2% in games he has played).
Rashod Bateman has accrued many more air yards this year (70.0 per game) than he did last year (52.0 per game).
Rashod Bateman's 53.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 36.2.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.1 plays per game.
Rashod Bateman's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.5% to 56.2%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (60%) to wideouts this year (60.0%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 4th-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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