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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rashid Shaheed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints will be rolling out backup quarterback Spencer Rattler in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.62 seconds per play.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

Opposing offenses have averaged 43.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Buccaneers defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

The model projects Rashid Shaheed to total 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New Orleans Saints to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Rashid Shaheed's 55.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a noteworthy decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 62.6% figure.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's collection of CBs has been very good this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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