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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints

Rashid Shaheed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -149 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a giant 8-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 8th-most in football.

Our trusted projections expect Rashid Shaheed to earn 7.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.

Rashid Shaheed's 73.8% snap rate this season conveys a meaningful boost in his offensive utilization over last season's 50.0% figure.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.8%) to WRs since the start of last season (61.8%).

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