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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Rashid Shaheed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this week's contest, Rashid Shaheed is anticipated by the projection model to finish in the 84th percentile among wide receivers with 7.3 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in football (56.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Saints.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.28 seconds per play.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints ranks as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season.

Rashid Shaheed's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 62.6% to 48.3%.

Since the start of last season, the tough Atlanta Falcons defense has yielded a measly 62.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.

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