Rashid Shaheed Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Rashid Shaheed

NFL · Player Props

Rashid Shaheed

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashid Shaheed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Saints offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Rashid Shaheed has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing a stellar 80.0% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Tampa Bay's collection of safeties has been atrocious since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
Rashid Shaheed has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, playing on 53.7% of snaps vs just 35.0% last season.
The Saints O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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