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Rashid Shaheed

Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

New Orleans Saints vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.3 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • After averaging 69.0 air yards per game last year, Rashid Shaheed has seen a big uptick this year, now pacing 121.0 per game.
  • Rashid Shaheed's skills in grinding out extra yardage have been refined this season, totaling 5.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 3.28 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 53.3% of their chances: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.0 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Rashid Shaheed to be a much smaller piece of his team's passing offense in this week's game (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (24.8% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.

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