Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to pass on 62.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The model projects the New Orleans Saints to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Saints have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Rashid Shaheed has totaled many more air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (33.0 per game).
Favors Under
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
Rashid Shaheed's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 81.7% to 68.0%.
Rashid Shaheed's 9.4 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 11.9 mark.
With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Rashid Shaheed ranks as one of the top WRs in the league in the NFL in the open field.
This year, the tough Houston Texans defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a meager 7.5 yards.