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Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Our trusted projections expect the Saints to call the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 64.7 per game on average).The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.After accumulating 33.0 air yards per game last year, Rashid Shaheed has produced significantly more this year, now boasting 72.0 per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.Rashid Shaheed's 66.1% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a material reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 81.7% mark.Rashid Shaheed's receiving efficiency has worsened this season, accumulating a measly 10.12 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 11.92 figure last season.Rashid Shaheed comes in as one of the bottom WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.
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