Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Rashid Shaheed

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
Rashid Shaheed has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 81.8% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
Rashid Shaheed has been among the most effective receivers in the league, averaging an impressive 11.94 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
The Tennessee Titans defense has conceded the most receiving yards per game in the NFL (182.0) to WRs since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Saints have been the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 55.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.1 plays per game.
Rashid Shaheed has been among the bottom wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 0th percentile.