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Rashee Rice

Rashee Rice Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Rashee Rice Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 62.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

The Chargers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.7 per game) since the start of last season.

In this week's contest, Rashee Rice is predicted by the projection model to position himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.2 targets.

Rashee Rice has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 20.1% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 78th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Since the start of last season, the tough Chargers defense has surrendered a measly 63.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 10th-best rate in the NFL.

The Los Angeles cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best CB corps in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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