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Rashee Rice

Rashee Rice Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Rashee Rice Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+104/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.6% of their opportunities: the highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • In this contest, Rashee Rice is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.1 targets.
  • Our trusted projections expect Rashee Rice to be a more important option in his team's pass attack in this game (27.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (18.7% in games he has played).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Rashee Rice grades out as one of the top WRs in the game this year, averaging an excellent 5.2 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Bills, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 30.8 per game) this year.
  • The Bills cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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