Rashee Rice Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Rashee Rice

NFL · Player Props

Rashee Rice

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Rashee Rice Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Rashee Rice to accrue 8.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
While Rashee Rice has been responsible for 16.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Kansas City's passing offense in this game at 24.5%.
With an excellent 4.6 adjusted receptions per game (85th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice has been as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in the NFL.
Rashee Rice profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching an impressive 80.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.

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