Rashee Rice Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Rashee Rice

NFL · Player Props

Rashee Rice

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Rashee Rice Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Rashee Rice to accrue 8.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
While Rashee Rice has been responsible for 16.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Kansas City's passing offense in this game at 24.5%.
With an impressive 59.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (81st percentile) this year, Rashee Rice ranks among the best wide receivers in the league in the NFL.
Rashee Rice profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching an impressive 80.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
This year, the fierce New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wideouts: a feeble 3.5 YAC.

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