Rashaad Penny Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Rashaad Penny

NFL · Player Props

Rashaad Penny

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashaad Penny Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.34 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Rashaad Penny to notch 12.6 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
Rashaad Penny has generated 65.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football among running backs (96th percentile).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most yards in the NFL (140 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season.
The Detroit Lions defensive ends profile as the worst group of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 37.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Rashaad Penny to be much less involved in his offense's run game this week (51.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (62.7% in games he has played).
Rashaad Penny's rushing effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 4.20 yards-per-carry vs a 5.96 figure last season.

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