Rashaad Penny Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Rashaad Penny

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Rashaad Penny Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 71.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Rashaad Penny to garner 15.5 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Rashaad Penny to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (61.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (47.2% in games he has played).
Rashaad Penny has picked up 71.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in football among running backs (97th percentile).
Rashaad Penny's ground efficiency (5.96 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (93rd percentile among RBs).
Rashaad Penny has been among the top RBs in the NFL at generating extra running yardage, averaging a terrific 4.52 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 97th percentile.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 40.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.