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Rashaad Penny

Rashaad Penny Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Rashaad Penny Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-239).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -218 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -239.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Atlanta Falcons safeties profile as the 5th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.7 plays per game.
  • Rashaad Penny's 4.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the worst in football: 23rd percentile for RBs.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Rashaad Penny has been among the worst running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a measly 0.7 receptions per game while ranking in the 16th percentile among running backs.

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