Rashaad Penny Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Rashaad Penny

NFL · Player Props

Rashaad Penny

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Rashaad Penny Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Rashaad Penny has been used more as a potential target this year (49.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (30.0%).

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.2 plays per game.
Rashaad Penny has accumulated a puny -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 8th percentile among running backs.
Rashaad Penny has been among the bottom RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a measly 4.0 yards per game while ranking in the 14th percentile among RBs.
Rashaad Penny has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL among RBs, averaging a mere 3.43 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.
The New Orleans Saints defense has conceded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 18.0) versus running backs this year.

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