Rashaad Penny Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Rashaad Penny

NFL · Player Props

Rashaad Penny

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 15, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Rashaad Penny Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Eagles rank as the 6th-least run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 31.2% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Rashaad Penny to be a less important option in his offense's run game this week (24.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (55.3% in games he has played).
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles profile as the 6th-best group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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