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Rashaad Penny

Rashaad Penny Carries
Player Prop Week 2

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Rashaad Penny Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+108/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -148.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Rashaad Penny to notch 13.1 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
  • Rashaad Penny has earned 49.0% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.1 plays per game.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have elected to go for it on 4th down just 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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