Randall Cobb Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Randall Cobb

NFL · Player Props

Randall Cobb

WR · New York Jets

Receptions

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Randall Cobb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+161/-213).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +171 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +161.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.
The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.0 per game) this year.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.
Randall Cobb's 14.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 28.1.
Randall Cobb's 0.7 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 2.7 rate.
This year, the tough Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed a measly 59.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 6th-best rate in the league.

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