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Randall Cobb

Randall Cobb Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Randall Cobb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+161/-213).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +171 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +161.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.
  • The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.0 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.
  • Randall Cobb's 14.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 28.1.
  • Randall Cobb's 0.7 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 2.7 rate.
  • This year, the tough Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed a measly 59.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 6th-best rate in the league.

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