Randall Cobb Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Randall Cobb

NFL · Player Props

Randall Cobb

WR · New York Jets

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Randall Cobb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets will be forced to use backup QB Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Broncos pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.5%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (68.5%).
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Denver's collection of CBs has been awful this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the projection model to run just 61.1 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The New York Jets have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 49.5 plays per game.
Randall Cobb's 15.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 28.1.
Randall Cobb's 0.8 adjusted receptions per game this year conveys a a material reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 2.7 figure.

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