Randall Cobb Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Randall Cobb

NFL · Player Props

Randall Cobb

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Randall Cobb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Randall Cobb's 39.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 23.8.
Randall Cobb's play as a receiver has gotten better this season, totaling 3.4 yards per game compared to just 2.4 last season.
Randall Cobb has been among the most reliable receivers in football, catching an impressive 74.9% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.
The New York Jets pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.8%) vs. WRs this year (68.8%).
The New York Jets have stacked the box against opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Packers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
The New York Jets cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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