Randall Cobb Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Randall Cobb

NFL · Player Props

Randall Cobb

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Randall Cobb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Randall Cobb has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing an impressive 78.6% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
The New England Patriots defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The New England Patriots have stacked the box against opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the NFL), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

The Packers are a massive 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 58.4 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (60.6%) to wideouts since the start of last season (60.6%).

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