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Randall Cobb

Randall Cobb Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Randall Cobb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Randall Cobb has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing an impressive 78.6% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
  • The New England Patriots defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The New England Patriots have stacked the box against opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the NFL), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a massive 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 58.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (60.6%) to wideouts since the start of last season (60.6%).

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