Randall Cobb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Randall Cobb

NFL · Player Props

Randall Cobb

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.
The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.0 per game) this year.
With an outstanding 5.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Randall Cobb rates among the top pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.
Randall Cobb has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (11.0 per game) than he did last year (38.0 per game).
Randall Cobb's 14.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 28.1.
Randall Cobb has notched many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (5.0) this season than he did last season (32.0).

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