Randall Cobb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Randall Cobb

NFL · Player Props

Randall Cobb

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets will be forced to use backup QB Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
With an outstanding 5.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Randall Cobb places as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in the league in the open field.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.02 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the NFL.
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Denver's collection of CBs has been awful this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the projection model to run just 61.1 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The New York Jets have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 49.5 plays per game.
After accruing 38.0 air yards per game last year, Randall Cobb has posted significant losses this year, now averaging 13.0 per game.
Randall Cobb's 15.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 28.1.
Randall Cobb's 7.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects a an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 32.0 mark.

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