Randall Cobb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Randall Cobb

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Randall Cobb has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing an impressive 78.6% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
Randall Cobb has been among the most effective pass-catchers in football, averaging an impressive 10.61 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 94th percentile among WRs.
Randall Cobb has been among the best WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 5.63 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 86th percentile.
The New England Patriots defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The New England Patriots have stacked the box against opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Packers are a massive 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 58.4 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
The New England Patriots defense has allowed the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 126.0) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season.