Randall Cobb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Randall Cobb

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 8:30 PM EST

Analysis

Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
Randall Cobb has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a terrific 77.5% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
Randall Cobb has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a stellar 10.01 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
The Green Bay Packers have utilized some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 119.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (60.9%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (60.9%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, allowing 6.94 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in the league.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.