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Randall Cobb

Randall Cobb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Randall Cobb has accumulated significantly more air yards this year (48.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).
  • Randall Cobb's 32.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 22.8.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Randall Cobb's ability to pick up extra yardage has been refined this year, notching 6.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 4.93 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Randall Cobb's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 74.8% to 70.1%.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their QB just 2.44 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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