Randall Cobb Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Randall Cobb

NFL · Player Props

Randall Cobb

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving TD

Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Randall Cobb Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-280).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Randall Cobb to be much more involved in his team's pass game near the end zone this week (17.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (10.7% in games he has played).
Randall Cobb has accumulated many more air yards this year (53.0 per game) than he did last year (33.0 per game).
Randall Cobb's 39.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 23.8.
Randall Cobb has been among the most reliable receivers in football, catching an impressive 74.9% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.
The New York Jets pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.8%) vs. WRs this year (68.8%).

Favors Under

The Packers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
Randall Cobb grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
The New York Jets cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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