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Randall Cobb

Randall Cobb Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Randall Cobb Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+288/-500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -475 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
  • Randall Cobb has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a terrific 77.5% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • Randall Cobb grades out in the 85th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.36 per game.
  • The Green Bay Packers have utilized some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 119.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Randall Cobb has been been lightly used his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which puts him in the 1st percentile among WRs.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (60.9%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (60.9%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has allowed the 6th-least TDs through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.79 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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