Randall Cobb Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Randall Cobb

NFL · Player Props

Randall Cobb

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving TD

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Randall Cobb Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+341/-653).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -598 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -653.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Randall Cobb to be much more involved in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (14.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.1% in games he has played).
Randall Cobb has totaled many more air yards this year (45.0 per game) than he did last year (33.0 per game).
Randall Cobb's 31.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 23.8.
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Randall Cobb grades out in the 1st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in football (57.8%) to wide receivers this year (57.8%).
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed the 5th-least passing touchdowns in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.60 per game this year.

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