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Randall Cobb

Randall Cobb Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Randall Cobb Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+341/-653).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -598 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -653.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Randall Cobb to be much more involved in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (14.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.1% in games he has played).
  • Randall Cobb has totaled many more air yards this year (45.0 per game) than he did last year (33.0 per game).
  • Randall Cobb's 31.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 23.8.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.
  • The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Randall Cobb grades out in the 1st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in football (57.8%) to wide receivers this year (57.8%).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed the 5th-least passing touchdowns in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.60 per game this year.

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