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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run on 46.1% of their chances: the 9th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a massive 63.0 per game on average).

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Raheem Mostert has grinded out 67.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the NFL among running backs (92nd percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 126.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

Raheem Mostert has been a much smaller part of his offense's running game this season (34.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (58.8%).

Raheem Mostert's 3.7 adjusted yards per carry this year reflects a remarkable decrease in his running talent over last year's 5.1 rate.

The Cardinals safeties project as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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