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Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-109).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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With a 4.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 5th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 47.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, New England's LB corps has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Miami Dolphins may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Tyler Huntley.Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Since the start of last season, the deficient Patriots run defense has surrendered a monstrous 3.70 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's run game: the 31st-highest rate in the league.
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