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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a running game script for the Dolphins, who are favored by 3 points.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dolphins to run on 51.9% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.1 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

After taking on 58.8% of his offense's run game usage last year, Raheem Mostert has had a smaller role in the rushing attack this year, currently sitting at only 28.1%.

Raheem Mostert has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (24.0) this season than he did last season (71.0).

Raheem Mostert's 3.4 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a significant drop-off in his running prowess over last season's 5.1 mark.

The Browns linebackers project as the best group of LBs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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