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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dolphins have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Green Bay's collection of DTs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The projections expect the Dolphins as the 9th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 40.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • While Raheem Mostert has been responsible for 27.3% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Miami's running game in this game at 9.9%.
  • Raheem Mostert has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (28.0) this season than he did last season (71.0).
  • Raheem Mostert's running effectiveness has declined this season, averaging a mere 3.76 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.13 mark last season.

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