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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the 8th-most run-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.8% run rate.
  • The Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.
  • With a fantastic rate of 3.13 yards after contact (75th percentile), Raheem Mostert rates as one of the most efficient running backs in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the model to call just 63.3 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Raheem Mostert has been a much smaller piece of his team's ground game this season (34.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (58.8%).
  • Raheem Mostert has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (43.0) this season than he did last season (71.0).
  • Raheem Mostert's rushing effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling just 3.87 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.11 figure last season.

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