Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Raheem Mostert

NFL · Player Props

Raheem Mostert

RB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 77.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 77.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a giant 14-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to run on 44.2% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Raheem Mostert to total 13.4 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
The predictive model expects Raheem Mostert to be a much smaller part of his team's running game in this week's game (27.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (48.1% in games he has played).
When talking about blocking for rushers (and the influence it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL last year.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.

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