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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a giant 13-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.
  • Raheem Mostert's 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year marks a a substantial progression in his rushing prowess over last year's 54.0 rate.
  • Raheem Mostert's rushing efficiency (5.45 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (89th percentile when it comes to running backs).
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (140 per game) against the Giants defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.8% run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins offense to be the 6th-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.12 seconds per snap.
  • While Raheem Mostert has been responsible for 50.0% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Miami's rushing attack in this week's contest at 37.6%.
  • The New York Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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