Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Raheem Mostert

NFL · Player Props

Raheem Mostert

RB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Raheem Mostert to garner 16.0 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among RBs.
The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Raheem Mostert has grinded out 57.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the league among running backs (82nd percentile).
Raheem Mostert's running efficiency has gotten better this season, averaging 5.83 yards-per-carry compared to just 4.78 mark last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 11th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.2 plays per game.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-least yards in the NFL (just 111 per game) vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season.

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