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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher run volume.

The Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at run-game blocking.

Raheem Mostert has run for many more adjusted yards per game (71.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).

Raheem Mostert's ground effectiveness (5.05 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (90th percentile when it comes to RBs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Miami Dolphins to run on 40.1% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

At the moment, the 3rd-most sluggish paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Dolphins.

The predictive model expects Raheem Mostert to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game in this game (46.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (59.9% in games he has played).

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Dallas's collection of DEs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More Raheem Mostert Player Props

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