Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Raheem Mostert

NFL · Player Props

Raheem Mostert

RB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 70.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Raheem Mostert to garner 16.3 carries this week, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Raheem Mostert has been given 60.6% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the most yards in football (168 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year.
The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 28th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Miami Dolphins have elected to go for it on 4th down just 15.6% of the time since the start of last season (6th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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