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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Raheem Mostert to garner 17.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among RBs.

Raheem Mostert has earned 58.8% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among running backs.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles project as the 3rd-worst group of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

The Miami Dolphins have faced a stacked the box on a mere 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 8th-least run-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 36.2% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 57.0 plays per game.

The Miami Dolphins offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense boasts the 10th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing just 4.36 yards-per-carry.

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