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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers

Raheem Mostert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a big 7-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The Miami Dolphins O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in run blocking.

Raheem Mostert has generated 56.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (77th percentile).

Opposing squads have run for the most yards in football (148 per game) vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the 28th-worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 6th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 38.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the least plays in football this year, totaling just 54.0 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Raheem Mostert to be a less important option in his offense's running game this week (47.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (59.6% in games he has played).

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