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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins

Raheem Mostert Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+176/-254).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -251 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -254.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

Raheem Mostert has been given 50.0% of his offense's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

The Miami Dolphins O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.

Opposing squads have run for the 7th-most TDs in the NFL (1.08 per game) vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.

The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends rank as the worst unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 6th-least run-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 39.1% red zone run rate.

The Miami Dolphins have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 54.7 plays per game.

The Miami Dolphins have elected to go for it on 4th down just 15.6% of the time since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

More Raheem Mostert Player Props

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